Envisioning robust climate change adaptation futures for coastal regions: a comparative evaluation of cases in three continents

Autor(en): van der Voorn, Tom
Quist, Jaco
Pahl-Wostl, Claudia 
Haasnoot, Marjolijn
Stichwörter: ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT; Backcasting; Climate adaptation; COMPLEXITY; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Sciences & Ecology; GOVERNANCE; IMPACT ASSESSMENT; Pathways; POLICY; RESILIENCE; RESOURCES MANAGEMENT; SOCIOECONOMIC SCENARIOS; TRANSITIONS; UNCERTAINTY; Vision development
Erscheinungsdatum: 2017
Herausgeber: SPRINGER
Journal: MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE
Volumen: 22
Ausgabe: 3
Startseite: 519
Seitenende: 546
Zusammenfassung: 
The paper reports on a comparative study of three different cases on vision and strategy development for climate change adaptation planning in (i) The South African Breede-Overberg Catchment, (ii) The Mississippi Estuary-New Orleans region and (iii) The Dutch Rhine-Meuse Estuary. The objective of the paper is twofold: to develop a better understanding of such processes and to further develop the Backcasting-Adaptive Management (BCAM) methodology. A framework for case evaluation is developed using six dimensions: (i) inputs and resources, (ii) future vision, (iii) stakeholder engagement, (iv) methodological aspects, (v) pathway development and (vi) impact. Major conclusions based on a cross-case comparison and testing propositions are (i) participatory vision development is a strong tool for climate change adaptation planning in different governance contexts and shows considerable diversity in its application in these contexts; (ii) a single, shared future vision is not a prerequisite for vision and pathway development and endorsement; (iii) broad stakeholder engagement enriches strategy development, but the involvement of marginal groups requires additional efforts and capacity building; (iv) multiple pathways and robust elements are useful but require novel expertise; and (v) more institutional embeddedness and support for participatory processes lead to better implementation of the outcomes of these processes.
ISSN: 13812386
DOI: 10.1007/s11027-015-9686-4

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